0

Global Emissions Rising Faster Than Worst-Case Scenarios

Any hope some of us had that emissions might slow as awareness of climate change rises was dashed on November 4th, when a US Dept of Energy report, discussed here by the Washington Post, showed that not only had we experienced the biggest global jump in emissions in one year, but that China, which shows no interest in signing an agreement to curb this increase, is now far ahead of the US in total emissions (though still lower per capita).

India, the world’s third biggest emitter, isn’t far behind. According to the report, it has reached 2.06 billion tons, which is 6.1 per cent of world emissions; however, its increase over the year was 9.4 per cent – the highest rise from any country.

What does this mean? Unfortunately, it seems to mean 7 degrees of warming, as opposed to the 2 degrees we think we can cope with.

Unless there are tipping points that we cannot foresee and whose results would therefore be entirely unpredictable (very likely!), this means a red planet, potentially within our children’s lifetimes. Unlivable. No grandchildren. No species. Nothing we could call home.

I think there’s still hope – because I’m stupid, or stubborn, or both. And I still think we should plan to adapt, because we still can.

We have to tell China and India we will do whatever we can to improve their standards of living while they pull back on the party we already had – and reaped the benefits.

But we’ve got to get creative with our offers, and it’s got to happen fast…

 

Share

Leave a Reply




If you want a picture to show with your comment, go get a Gravatar.